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Portents on election eve

November 2, 2009

Tomorrow’s elections  represent three possible scenarios for the next general elections.  The results will depend on a number of factors and pundits will be dissecting them for weeks, but regardless of the results, the scenarios themselves are compelling.

In Virginia, it’s a pretty standard race of Republican versus Democrat, each supported by his own party.  Is the coalition that propelled Obama into the White House effective at supporting other candidates or was this a personal machine?  Does the popularity or unpopularity of the Democrat’s policies work for or against Deeds?  It doesn’t look good for the left.

In New Jersey, there’s an unpopular governor running against a popular Republican challenger but the third party candidate can be a spoiler. Conventional wisdom says that Daggett will pull votes away from Christie, potentially allowing Corzine to squeak by.  This is the nightmare scenario for the right and the dream scenario for the left.  If this were to happen on a national level in 2010, it would be disaster for the future of the Republic.

In New York, the radical Republican Dede Scozzafava dropped out of a three-way race and actually endorsed Democrat Hughes while the spurned conservative Republican Hoffman ran on a third party ticket to take the lead.  If he wins, this is the dream scenario for the right–especially for the Tea Party movement and fiscal conservatives–while it is the nightmare scenario for the left.  Is the left so unpopular that they would lose even a three-way race?  This time the third party candidate leads.

With McDonnell so far ahead in Virginia, it is doubtful that even the DNC can dig up enough dead and phantom voters to change the outcome in favor of Deeds.  A Democratic sweep of all three elections is therefore highly unlikely–but it is still possible for the conservatives to sweep.

The Democrats didn’t listen to the Tea Party protests in the spring, the town halls in the summer, the march on DC in September or the constant phone calls, emails and letters from constituents.

Might November 3rd send them a message they will listen to?

One Comment
  1. November 2, 2009 7:06 pm

    Praise the Lord, and pass the ballot! Ballots are more powerful than bullets, as the blind eyes, deaf ears may be opened by the election results. The people are sick and tired of being ignored, treated like idiots, and told fanciful stories on the failures of this government. Swine Flu vaccine will be available after it has run its course. The overnight, and 6 hour waiting lines will seem like the good old days, if the government controls the medical system. The money that has been reserved but never put to work on our financial crisis did not achieve anything in reducing unemployment. But of course, it was NEVER intended to reduce unemployment until 2012 when you can be long dead from waiting for nothing. The voters will raise a little noise tomorrow. A prelude to 2010 I can hardly wait.

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